Category: Severe Outlooks

0

TX Panhandle Initiation 4/22

Based on virtually all model guidance and near-term trends, the focus area for thunderstorm development this afternoon is the eastern Texas panhandle. Particularly between Amarillo and Childress. The atmospheric setup involves a sagging frontal...

0

Early AM Severe Threat: 10/8/14

The latest data and trends continue to highlight at least an elevated threat for some severe weather rolling into the area first thing Wednesday morning. I want to keep this relatively brief to give...

0

Isolated Severe Storms Today 7/28/14

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible this afternoon across portions of New England. The setup includes low pressure moving through New York State with a cold front swinging toward New England from the west. Across...

0

Isolated Tornadoes Possible 7/15/14

Ahead of an approaching cold front, strong to severe thunderstorms should develop Tuesday afternoon and continue into at least the early evening hours. The greatest threats will be damaging winds and flash flooding from...

0

Complex Severe Setup Today (6/29/14)

Although there is a moderate risk of severe thunderstorms today, as forecast by the Storm Prediction Center, it’s a complex setup with several uncertainties. The biggest complicating factor is convection (thunderstorm activity) that’s already...

0

Nebraska-Kansas Chase (June 27)

The severe thunderstorm threat today targets southwest/south-central Nebraska down into the northwestern chunk of Kansas. A few isolated tornadoes will be possible, especially just northeast of a surface low from mid to late afternoon....

0

Exploring New Areas to Chase

Today starts what should be a long stretch of several storm chasing opportunities. Today will bring me to a new area that I have not visited yet, the High Plains across eastern Colorado. My...

0

Chase Potential for the Next Week

After taking about a week off from storm chasing, it looks like there will be several potential chase days between Wednesday, June 25th and Tuesday, July 1st. I have been staying with a friend...

0

Tornado Prospects Today

Severe thunderstorms are likely today across Nebraska and spreading east into portions of the upper Mississippi Valey. Some thunderstorms Monday morning are already becoming severe, but this is round one of what should be...

0

Monday, the Big Day?

Although I will be out in the field looking for storms today/Sunday, the next day that really captures my attention is Monday. This is just a quick overview before I hit the road, but...

0

Targeting Nebraska

A severe outbreak with at least a few tornadoes, some of which could be strong and long-tracking, is targeting Nebraska on Tuesday, June 3rd. The image above is a calibrated probability of severe thunderstorms...

0

Sunday Kickoff

It’s now June and it’s my third big trip out west. This trip will not even last a full week, but the outlooks are looking very promising so far. For today, it’s what I’m...

0

Chasing in Western Texas

I’ll be chasing storms this weekend on both Saturday and Sunday across western Texas and the panhandle region. A slow-moving upper level low will rotate east over the next few days. Ahead of the...

0

Active Weather Pattern Developing

After a few isolated severe thunderstorms over the past couple of days, a prolonged active weather patterns appears to be underway. Today and tomorrow (May 20-21): An upper level shortwave moving across the upper...

0

Looking Ahead Out West

Looking deeper into May, there could be some localized severe leading into the weekend as the Southwest trough slowly ejects. The next notable threat is across the High Plains by early next week. While...

0

Severe Prospects Heat Up for Late May

With weather patterns projected to shuffle around over the next week or so, the potential is increasing for an uptick in severe thunderstorm activity for late May. While portions of the eastern U.S. may...