Category: Severe Outlooks

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3-Day Severe Weather Outbreak

On Sunday, a significant severe weather outbreak that will likely last at least three days will get underway. I will be storm chasing each day Sunday through Tuesday as I work back east. Should...

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Severe Threats Saturday Thru Tuesday

Severe weather appears likely across a large portion of the south-central and southeastern United States between Saturday night and Tuesday. The above image compares a severe outbreak in April 2005 that has some similarities...

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Panhandle Severe Threat

There is a severe thunderstorm threat late this afternoon and into the evening hours near the extreme eastern Texas panhandle and much of adjacent Oklahoma. While this is not a classic severe setup, as...

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Wednesday Severe Potential

As we move into the final third of April, there are signs of more severe threats targeting the Plains after what has been a very slow start to the severe weather season. Models have...

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April 13th Severe Outlook Verification

The overall severe thunderstorm outlook from 12 a.m. on April 13th for the day verified quite well. There was high confidence (75%) in greater than 25 or more severe wind reports, but low confidence...

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Severe Weather Sunday

Severe thunderstorms are likely today across portions of the Plains and Mississippi River Valley. Ongoing thunderstorms early this morning may be marginally severe across portions of Iowa, northern Missouri and Illinois. Additional showers and...

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Weekend Low-End Severe Outbreak Possible

The potential exists for a low-end severe weather outbreak across portions of the Plains this weekend. The first focus is on Saturday afternoon into the overnight period across the central Plains. Surface low pressure...

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Severe Season Waking Up

Similarly to 2013, the start of 2014 has been off to a relatively slow start in terms of severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. Through the end of March, there were only 70 tornadoes reported across...

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Severe Outlook: March 15th

A severe thunderstorm threat tomorrow includes damaging winds for much of eastern Texas into the Ark-latex region. An isolated tornado is possible. While more than ample shear is forecast, instability becomes a wildcard in...